JAMA published paired systematic reviews for the coming respiratory season. Both found vaccines reduced hospitalisation across age groups, with no new safety signals, though protection wanes over time.
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ANALYSISTwo pragmatic randomised trials and a Medicare nursing home cohort landed in the same week. Together they show real protection against hospitalisation and a durability question nobody has answered.
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EXPLAINERThree surveillance networks put 2025/26 effectiveness between 22% and 45% against a drifted H3N2 virus. The figure is a comparison between vaccinated and unvaccinated people who all got tested.
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WHAT THE STUDY ACTUALLY SAYSTwo national studies settle the question the trials could not: in England, cancer rates fell 87% among those vaccinated at 12-13; in Sweden, the risk was cut by nearly two-thirds.
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WHAT THE STUDY ACTUALLY SAYSA Buenos Aires surveillance cohort estimates 80.8% effectiveness against RSV hospitalisation in infants under three months — close to what the licensing trial found, in a real programme.
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