For how we live.
A Markov model of one U.S. birth cohort projects 255 chronic hepatitis B infections under universal birth-dose vaccination, rising 19% if the dose is deferred and 83% under shared decision-making (modelled).
A Lancet Global Health model projects that barring women from nursing and midwifery training could cut maternal care-seeking to a third of current levels and raise the maternal mortality ratio 29% to 41% by 2035.
Adult TB incidence and mortality are projected to fall 46% and 54% by 2030, short of the 80% and 90% goals. Wider symptom-driven testing matters most to closing the gap, the analysis suggests.
The estimate covers 2000 to 2023 and 108 countries. It is a counterfactual model, not a measured saving, and it lands as the US and other donors debate cutting the disease-specific funding it credits.
The Lancet Global Health paper that produced this month's headline number also produced a larger one: 22.6 million additional deaths by 2030 if defunding deepens. The distinction matters more than the figure.