Seventy-seven thousand fewer children got PEPFAR-supported HIV treatment in 2025 than the year before. UNAIDS warns permanent cuts could mean millions of additional infections and deaths by 2029.
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HHS Secretary Kennedy held the money over Gavi's use of a mercury-based preservative most safety reviews call harmless in trace amounts. Gavi says it was already phasing the ingredient out.
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The FY2027 request would cut global health funding by $4.3 billion and eliminate WHO, PAHO and UNFPA outright. Three weeks later House appropriators proposed a smaller cut.
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ANALYSISSub-Saharan Africa received $11 billion in external assistance for community health worker programmes over two decades. More than three-quarters went to single-disease work, and the annual financing gap never closed.
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WHAT THE STUDY ACTUALLY SAYSThe estimate covers only populations in humanitarian need across Burkina Faso, Central African Republic, Chad, Mali, Niger and Nigeria — and it assumes nothing replaces the lost money.
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ANALYSISThe Lancet Global Health paper that produced this month's headline number also produced a larger one: 22.6 million additional deaths by 2030 if defunding deepens. The distinction matters more than the figure.
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ANALYSISWashington intends to provide up to $792 million over five years. Malawi commits the rest — and the money is meant to flow through the government rather than NGOs.
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ANALYSISAcross 165 clinics in four African countries, HIV testing fell by up to 35% and treatment starts by up to 32%. Most services had not returned to baseline two months after the orders were lifted.
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ANALYSISIHME's annual accounting puts development assistance for health at less than half its 2021 peak, with no recovery forecast to 2030. A companion model estimates what that means for tuberculosis.
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